A major take-away from last week was that Hillary Clinton is still the clear front-runner among the Dems and that if that nomination were based purely on debate-performances alone, she would have it.
The Republican picture isn’t so clear, but I think today’s Boston Globe cover is good evidence of who will be rising to the top in the near future:
Romney has steadily pushed to the head of the Republican pack in New Hampshire, while his major rivals have lost ground. A mid-July poll had him opening up a 15-point lead.
Romney has benefitted from larger forces shaping the race, notably, McCain’s difficulties. But he has also run a campaign that might have been lifted straight out of “The Official Guide to Winning the New Hampshire Primary,” if there were such a guide to the conventional wisdom. The formula: win over influential activists, advertise early, and lavish New Hampshire with attention.
“It’s really no secret what Romney’s been doing,” said Fergus Cullen, chairman of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee, who is neutral in the race. “They have run the most traditional campaign in New Hampshire, characterized by the most visits here and the best grass-roots organization and by running a campaign aimed directly at likely Republican primary voters.”
I always wonder why other candidates don’t pick up on these “no secret” campaign strategies. Here’s a hint from politico.com:
After months of tough press and a corresponding drop in his once-soaring poll numbers, Rudy Giuliani’s campaign has put a new strategy in place, nurturing relationships with reporters and trying to drive coverage with its own messaging.
Mastering some of the basic fundamentals of the modern presidential campaign simply hasn’t come easily for Giuliani, who started his quest much later than his GOP peers and has sometimes seemed to have difficulty adjusting to the umatched scrutiny of a run for the White House.
The article goes on to become a ‘Giuliani is righting the ship’ piece, but I don’t buy it. I simply can’t picture Giuliani running a campaign of the quality Romney’s capable of. Granted, Labor Day will welcome a full-fledged Fred Thompson and that could shake everybody up. Until then, Romney looks great. Of course he doesn’t poll great against any of the Democrats, and the Sunday Globe couldn’t leave him with just the cover story:
Jokes about Massachusetts may receive some half-hearted laughter on the national campaign trail, but few working men and women in Massachusetts should see anything funny about the state’s lackluster economic performance during the Romney years.
Posted by Andrew Bennett
Posted by Andrew Bennett
Posted by Andrew Bennett